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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 1/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has posted 7.0 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.

Damian Lillard has tallied 36.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Damian Lillard figures to get a boost in output in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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