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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 3/28/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 9.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.

Damian Lillard has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Damian Lillard should see a decline in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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