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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 3/12/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has totaled 7.5 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard slots into the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 35.0 minutes per game this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • The Bucks will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Sacramento Kings).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Damian Lillard will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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