Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Damian Lillard

NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-127/-108).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has averaged 7.3 assists per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
Among all players in the league, Damian Lillard registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the other team has grabbed 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Damian Lillard has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Damian Lillard will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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