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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 2/13/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Damian Lillard has averaged 34.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league this year has been the Bucks.

This year, opposing clubs have captured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat (lessening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Damian Lillard will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Damian Lillard has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the most lethargic pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Heat).

The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Damian Lillard Player Props

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