Damian Lillard Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Damian Lillard

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Damian Lillard has compiled 6.8 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 98th percentile.
Damian Lillard has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
Damian Lillard has been called for a lowly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 0.1 technicals per game last season.
The speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.