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Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard Assists
Player Prop - 11/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Damian Lillard Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Damian Lillard has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Damian Lillard rates in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 1.3 fouls per game this year.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
  • Damian Lillard will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Damian Lillard has tallied just 6.4 assists per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.3 assists per game last season.
  • The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
  • The Bucks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (maintaining possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).

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