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Cory Joseph

Cory Joseph Points
Player Prop - 3/27/2025

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks

Cory Joseph Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Cory Joseph has sunk 41.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 8.8% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season at home.

The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The Orlando Magic will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Orlando Magic check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Cory Joseph has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Cory Joseph lands in the 17th percentile for playing time, putting up a mere 10.5 minutes per game this year.

Cory Joseph has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.

With respect to offense, the Magic's subpar 105.1 points per game ranks 2nd-worst in the NBA this year.

The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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