Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2024

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Corey Kispert

NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards · Mar 12, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 1:41 AM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Corey Kispert has attempted 11.4 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making this a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Wizards have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Corey Kispert has sunk a lowly 74.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 83.1 mark last year.
Over the last 12 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Grizzlies, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Corey Kispert figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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