Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Corey Kispert has successfully made 43.5% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games on the road, 10.8% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year while on the road.
Corey Kispert has attempted 7.5 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The Wizards rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on their home court (24th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (25.5%).
The Wizards will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Corey Kispert will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production for all stats.