Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Corey Kispert

NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Washington Wizards rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
This year, their opposition has shot 34.8% on threes (6th-weakest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Washington Wizards have played at the fastest tempo in the league as the away team this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 2nd-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Bucks).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have attempted 20.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Bucks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 51.5% rate, Corey Kispert's shooting effectiveness has tailed off this season to 29.8%.
Corey Kispert has sunk just 19.3% of his three-point shots this year, significantly less than his 40.1 mark last year.
Corey Kispert has been on the court for just 21.9 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 27.8 minutes per game last season.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
While on their home court, the Bucks have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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