Corey Kispert Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Corey Kispert

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Corey Kispert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Corey Kispert has successfully made 38.0% of his 3-pointers when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Corey Kispert has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.3% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have averaged the most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.1).

Favors Under

The Mavericks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games on their home court (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 28.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games on his home court (least in the league).
The Washington Wizards check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Wizards have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.0).