Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2026

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls · Apr 12, 2026

Updated Apr 12, 2026 9:48 PM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has put up 21.8 points per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 6.0 more than he's put up over the course of the season on the road.
The Bulls rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.8).
The most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Bulls.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Bulls.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Chicago Bulls rank 5thworst in in the league away from their home court with only 10.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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