Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has successfully made 2.5 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted in all games this year.
The 9th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Collin Sexton has converted 3.3 free throws per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Collin Sexton should see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

When it comes to shooting, the Utah Jazz's poor 105.4 points per game when playing at home places weakest in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 11.7 field goal attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making this a challenging matchup.
The Utah Jazz are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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