Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Apr 1, 2024 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has sunk 9.3 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 2.8 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Collin Sexton has tallied 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.6 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, designating this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 5th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.
The Utah Jazz check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Jazz have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Utah Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 10th-slowest pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
Collin Sexton ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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