Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 2:27 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has successfully made 9.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's sunk overall this year.
Collin Sexton has converted 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season playing at home.
Collin Sexton has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The matchup vs. Kyrie Irving is a good one for shots from the field; when Irving is on the visiting team other starting SGs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 50.4% of their shots from the field (90th percentile).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

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