Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has made 9.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
Collin Sexton has averaged 33.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Utah Jazz.
The Rockets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Jazz check in as the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the league away from their home court this year.
The matchup against Houston is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (24.8%).
Collin Sexton stands to suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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