Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Washington Wizards · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 2:10 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has attempted 12.4 shots per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 9.8 mark last year.
Collin Sexton has successfully made 48.8% of his treys over the last 15 games at home, 11.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year with the home court advantage.
The matchup against Washington is a strong one; when the Wizards are on the road, they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (16.9).
The Jazz have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Utah Jazz will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the most up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year (the Washington Wizards).

Favors Under

The Washington Wizards have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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