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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 12/30/2023

Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has scored 22.9 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.3 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.

Collin Sexton has converted 1.9 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Collin Sexton has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a good one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).

The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Collin Sexton has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.

The Jazz rank as the least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home.

The Jazz will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat).

Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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