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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Collin Sexton has attempted 4.3 three-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 2.8 mark last season.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 30.9% on 3-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a tough matchup.

The 9th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 19 games has been the Jazz.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Collin Sexton ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 49.5% clip, Collin Sexton's field goal efficiency has diminished this year to 41.7%.

As it relates to shooting, the Jazz's poor 44.7% field goal percentage when playing at home measures as the 5th-worst in the league this year.

The Utah Jazz will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Portland Trail Blazers).

While playing at home, the Portland Trail Blazers have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted a massive 25.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).

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