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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 11/21/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Over the last 5 games, the other team has posted 108.2 points per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
  • The Utah Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Lakers).
  • The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Collin Sexton has converted a whopping 100.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 80.2 rate last season.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has attempted 17.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Collin Sexton has sunk just 24.4% of his three-point attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 33.5 rate last season.
  • The 10th-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Jazz.
  • This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have captured 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (preserving possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
  • As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Utah Jazz's unimpressive 18.3 foul shots per game away from home places 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Collin Sexton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance across the board.

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