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Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This matchup is a tough one for field goals; when the Suns are playing at home, opposing clubs have shot for the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (45.0%).

The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last year's 4.4 clip, Collin Sexton's number of foul shots has increased this year to 4.0 foul shots per game.

Collin Sexton will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally boosts player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 49.5% rate, Collin Sexton's field goal efficiency has fallen this year to 44.0%.

Compared to last year's 36.2% mark, Collin Sexton's 3-point prowess has tailed off this year to 14.4%.

Relative to last year's 2.3 rate, Collin Sexton's personal fouls per game have spiked this year to 2.3.

The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Over the last 6 games when they are at home, the other team has brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

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