Collin Sexton Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2022

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz · Dec 30, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has converted 56.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 21.8% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
Collin Sexton has successfully made 4.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
The Utah Jazz have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Kings.
The Kings have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Collin Sexton has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (75th percentile).
The matchup against the Kings is a tough one for field goals; opposing squads have compiled the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (48.8%).
The Utah Jazz check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA on the road this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season.
Collin Sexton will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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