Collin Sexton Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Collin Sexton

NBA · Player Props

Collin Sexton

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs New York Knicks · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:56 AM EST

Analysis

Collin Sexton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Collin Sexton has averaged 3.2 assists per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 14thbest in in the NBA as the home team with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has nabbed 8.8 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to extra chances for offense).
Collin Sexton will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The 5th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Jazz.

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