Coby White Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Coby White

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 9:02 PM EST

Analysis

Coby White Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Coby White places in the 78th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc at home, tallying 4.7 per game since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA when playing at home since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has grabbed 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).
Coby White has successfully made 90.2% of his foul shots while playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 16.6 points per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Bulls are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-slowest pace away offense in the league this year (the Nuggets).
The Chicago Bulls rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game since the start of last season (10th-least in the league).