Coby White Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Coby White

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Coby White Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls rank as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Bulls.
With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Coby White has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Favors Under

Coby White has converted 33.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, -6.9% less than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
This matchup is a strong one; when the Nuggets are at home, they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (121.8).
The Chicago Bulls have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; when the Nuggets have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted an enormous 30.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the NBA).
Coby White will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.