CJ McCollum Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

CJ McCollum

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Jan 18, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

CJ McCollum Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

CJ McCollum has totaled 3.8 defensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 79th percentile.
CJ McCollum has been on the court for 34.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
CJ McCollum will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

CJ McCollum has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.