Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 22, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 10:04 PM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Christian Braun measures in the 86th percentile for field goal effectiveness with a terrific 55.5% rate this year.
Christian Braun has sunk 43.1% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Relative to last season's 19.8 clip, Christian Braun's playing time has surged this season to 35.3 minutes per game.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.1).
The matchup vs. Quentin Grimes is a positive one for shots from the field; when Grimes is playing on the road opposing starting SGs this year, they have sunk a massive 47.0% of their shots from the field (75th percentile).

Favors Under

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 5th-least up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Mavericks).
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.