Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 5:31 PM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun places in the 83rd percentile for shots made, compiling a massive 5.8 per game this year.
Christian Braun has successfully made 54.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Christian Braun has tallied a terrific 35.5 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 19.8 minutes per game last year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.