Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2024

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has made 77.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 33.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Christian Braun has converted 80.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 45.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Christian Braun has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Nuggets.
Christian Braun ought to suffer a reduction in production for all stats due to being on the road in this matchup.

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