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Christian Braun

Christian Braun Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Christian Braun has made 89.3% of his foul shots over the last 15 games on the road, 11.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season while playing away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 48.4% clip, Christian Braun's shooting effectiveness has tailed off this season to 39.2%.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for field goals; when the Lakers are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 13th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (37.1%).

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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