Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has put up an impressive 8.7 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.4 points per game last season.
Christian Braun has sunk 45.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 11.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Christian Braun has been on the court for an impressive 19.7 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 14.5 minutes per game last season.
This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Thunder are the visiting team, opposing squads have averaged the least field goals per game in the NBA against them this year (38.6).
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 3rd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league at home this year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted a monstrous 26.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (4th-most in the NBA).

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