Christian Braun Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has successfully made 52.5% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 10.8% more than he's made from three over the course of the season when playing away from home.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Christian Braun has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 37.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Christian Braun has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's committed overall this season on the road.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Suns are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (10.3).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
While playing at home, the Suns have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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