Christian Braun Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Christian Braun

NBA · Player Props

Christian Braun

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Christian Braun Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Christian Braun has averaged a terrific 19.8 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 14.5 minutes per game last season.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Christian Braun will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player production for all stats.

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