Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has sunk 4.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Chris Paul has tallied 28.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The matchup against the Suns is a positive one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 5 games (29.2).
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs rank 8th-best in in the NBA on the road with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
In terms of scoring, the Spurs's subpar 110.9 points per game ranks 9th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Suns have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which should reduce plays for the Spurs.
Chris Paul is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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