Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has successfully made 63.7% of his treys over the last 10 games, 23.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Spurs.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.6% higher than he's converted in all games this season.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Raptors is a tough one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).
In regard to getting to the free-throw line, the San Antonio Spurs's feeble 20.0 foul shot attempts per game away from their home court settles in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Toronto may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Toronto Raptors have the home court advantage (5th-least in the league).
Chris Paul should suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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