Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has converted 58.5% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 19.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
Chris Paul has played 28.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 75th percentile.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Lakers, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Spurs.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.
As a team, the Spurs have been poor at getting to the free-throw line when playing on the road: 4th-worst in the league this year, drawing a lowly 20.2 free throws per game.
Chris Paul will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen stat production across the board.

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