Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 25, 2024

Updated Dec 25, 2024 4:34 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has made 56.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.3% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The Spurs have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The San Antonio Spurs have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul has successfully made a whopping 100.0% of his foul shots this year, a big improvement over his 75.1 rate last year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Knicks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Spurs's subpar 107.0 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 7th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.8).
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Spurs.
Chris Paul will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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