Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 3:53 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has made 1.9 three-pointers per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile among all players in the NBA.
With respect to scoring, the Spurs's remarkable 49.0% field goal percentage while playing at home settles in as the 6th-best in the league this year.
The Spurs have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The San Antonio Spurs will likely see a rise in opportunities today from facing the 6th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 8 games (the Utah Jazz).
Compared to last year's 75.1% mark, Chris Paul's free-throw effectiveness has spiked this year to 100.0%.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Jazz is a difficult one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (26.5%).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the San Antonio Spurs rank 5thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Utah is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game this year when the Utah Jazz are the visiting squad (4th-least in the league).

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