Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz · Nov 9, 2024

Updated Nov 9, 2024 10:28 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Chris Paul measures in the 85th percentile for three-pointers scored while on his home court, averaging 2.0 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Chris Paul measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 28.7 minutes per game this year.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 7th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Jazz).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the San Antonio Spurs grade out 10th-best in in the league while playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Chris Paul has converted a terrific 100.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly more than his 75.1 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Spurs rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 26.5% on three-pointers (worst in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The matchup vs. Utah is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game this year when the Utah Jazz are away from home (4th-least in the league).

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