Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 7, 2024

Updated Nov 7, 2024 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Chris Paul slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 28.8 minutes per game this year.
With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Spurs.
In contrast to last year's 75.1% mark, Chris Paul's foul-shot effectiveness has risen this year to 100.0%.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Spurs rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 29.8% on threes (3rd-worst in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a hard matchup.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Spurs.

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