Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · San Antonio Spurs

Points

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 5:44 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has converted 55.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's converted overall this year.
The Spurs have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Spurs check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one; when the Houston Rockets have the home court advantage, they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The Rockets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the San Antonio Spurs.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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