Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:07 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has converted 50.3% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 10.7% higher than he's made from three in all games this year while at home.
The 7th-quickest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 14.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Chris Paul has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.9% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup against the Utah Jazz is a challenging one for threes; opposing starting PGs have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (26.5%).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been lousy at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 25 games, drawing a lowly 15.9 free throws per game.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Jazz, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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