Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chris Paul has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 24.9% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.5 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has notched a measly 9.3 points per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 13.7 points per game last season.
Chris Paul has tallied a measly 26.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 32.4 minutes per game last year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on threes (3rd-weakest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a tough matchup.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games with just 15.8 free throws per game.

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