Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Bucks have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a mere 15.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Milwaukee Bucks are away from home (4th-least in the league).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 11.5 mark, Chris Paul's field goal attempts have diminished this year to 7.6 per game.
With respect to offense, the Warriors's poor 44.6% field goal rate on their home court measures as the 6th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have totaled 43.9 baskets per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, resulting in a favorable matchup.
Chris Paul has successfully made just 1.1 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.1 mark last season.

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