Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Chris Paul

NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has made 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Chris Paul has successfully made 58.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The 2nd-fastest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Warriors.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 32.4 rate, Chris Paul's playing time has diminished this season to 27.4 minutes per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Chris Paul registers in the 83rd percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, opposing squads have nabbed 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) against the Raptors (saving possessions that can lead to additional chances for offense).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the free-throw line in recent days: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 25 games, averaging a lowly 18.5 free throws per game.
Chris Paul will likely suffer a reduction in output for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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