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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has failed to convert 4.6 shots from the field per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.5 rate last season.

Chris Paul has sunk 39.4% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.7% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

The Warriors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 16.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 31.9 mark, Chris Paul's playing time has regressed this season to 26.4 minutes per game.

Chris Paul has tallied 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.

The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has averaged 51.2% on field goal attempts (best in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, branding this as a positive matchup.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Golden State Warriors.

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