Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 8:28 PM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 0.1 mark, Chris Paul's technical fouls have decreased this season to 0.0 per game.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Chris Paul has successfully made an impressive 92.0% of his free throw attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 80.6 mark last season.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.0 free throws per game since the start of last season (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Chris Paul has converted just 37.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit less than his 43.5 mark last year.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league as the road team this year.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one; when the Suns are playing at home, they have given up the 6th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs since the start of last season (17.7).
The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Suns (retaining possessions that can generate more chances for offense).