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Chris Paul

Chris Paul Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Chris Paul has averaged a mere 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 0.1 technicals per game last year.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 14thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 14.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have captured 8.6 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional chances for offense).

In comparison to last year's 80.6% mark, Chris Paul's free-throw prowess has surged this year to 90.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 11.5 mark, Chris Paul's field goal attempts have declined this season to 9.0 per game.

The Warriors check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have posted 13.0 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Rockets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive performance.

The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Rockets).

The matchup against Houston is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Rockets are away from home (13th-least in the NBA).

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