Chris Paul Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Chris Paul

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 24, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Chris Paul Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Chris Paul has converted 55.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 22.2% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
Chris Paul has been on the court for 33.1 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Chris Paul has made 92.9% of his free throws over the last 10 games at home, 7.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on his home court.

Favors Under

Chris Paul has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.4).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Away from their home court, the Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a mere 21.5 free throw attempts per game.